Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.005281 0.005576 0.005880 0.006220 0.006588 0.006975 0.007415
2025-12-28 0.004796 0.005227 0.005694 0.006239 0.006863 0.007556 0.008392
2026-01-04 0.004529 0.005044 0.005619 0.006313 0.007138 0.008093 0.009298
2026-01-11 0.004263 0.004825 0.005468 0.006266 0.007241 0.008409 0.009938
2026-01-18 0.004065 0.004665 0.005365 0.006254 0.007369 0.008744 0.010605
2026-01-25 0.003876 0.004500 0.005240 0.006198 0.007428 0.008984 0.011157
2026-02-01 0.003799 0.004462 0.005264 0.006323 0.007714 0.009524 0.012136
2026-02-08 0.003662 0.004342 0.005176 0.006296 0.007796 0.009793 0.012757
2026-02-15 0.003550 0.004246 0.005111 0.006291 0.007902 0.010094 0.013438
2026-02-22 0.003412 0.004111 0.004989 0.006202 0.007884 0.010217 0.013864
2026-03-01 0.003290 0.003990 0.004879 0.006123 0.007873 0.010344 0.014297
2026-03-08 0.003205 0.003914 0.004824 0.006114 0.007957 0.010610 0.014961
2026-03-15 0.003051 0.003744 0.004639 0.005918 0.007766 0.010461 0.014959
2026-03-22 0.002987 0.003690 0.004608 0.005936 0.007886 0.010786 0.015755
2026-03-29 0.002946 0.003665 0.004614 0.006005 0.008082 0.011237 0.016799
2026-04-05 0.002868 0.003587 0.004544 0.005961 0.008104 0.011415 0.017383
2026-04-12 0.002805 0.003528 0.004498 0.005949 0.008174 0.011670 0.018127
2026-04-19 0.002733 0.003454 0.004428 0.005898 0.008178 0.011817 0.018682
2026-04-26 0.002719 0.003459 0.004469 0.006014 0.008450 0.012423 0.020160
2026-05-03 0.002662 0.003402 0.004419 0.005989 0.008494 0.012646 0.020917
2026-05-10 0.002614 0.003355 0.004383 0.005984 0.008570 0.012926 0.021813
2026-05-17 0.002544 0.003278 0.004299 0.005901 0.008513 0.012966 0.022218
2026-05-24 0.002481 0.003206 0.004223 0.005827 0.008467 0.013022 0.022662